Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 5.191340 5.642943 6.146502 6.756254 7.484013 8.337551 9.434611
2025-02-02 4.950518 5.618067 6.426631 7.507319 8.964897 10.951957 14.060668
2025-02-09 4.592917 5.383937 6.405893 7.890039 10.131176 13.706556 20.854753
2025-02-16 4.252310 5.115596 6.291780 8.129071 11.220489 17.073119 33.433004
2025-02-23 3.931745 4.827789 6.102247 8.221020 12.162103 21.110951 61.968456
2025-03-02 3.555973 4.417718 5.674404 7.843859 12.148742 23.306691 110.409566
2025-03-09 3.304244 4.157268 5.435828 7.739352 12.678101 27.980716 642.919170
2025-03-16 3.026940 3.832752 5.057553 7.314069 12.361560 29.808500 NaN
2025-03-23 2.883528 3.694312 4.959154 7.390985 13.313289 39.654087 NaN
2025-03-30 2.730175 3.526785 4.792683 7.303619 13.834829 50.642783 NaN
2025-04-06 2.572299 3.339862 4.573765 7.070379 13.855154 59.925813 NaN
2025-04-13 2.408463 3.132920 4.302420 6.686055 13.271296 61.608437 NaN
2025-04-20 2.350255 3.100629 4.351766 7.053321 15.622585 182.319156 NaN
2025-04-27 2.345477 3.154414 4.565326 7.882285 21.191165 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.287080 3.114613 4.601804 8.313593 26.426886 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.216130 3.047442 4.577068 8.587209 32.186088 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.137126 2.959965 4.500921 8.697408 37.875051 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.025235 2.807192 4.274426 8.287159 36.753244 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.946016 2.707551 4.149851 8.176725 39.828553 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.847382 2.567953 3.929553 7.711786 36.674693 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.796724 2.511188 3.879706 7.799207 43.216345 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.737571 2.435606 3.782467 7.705185 46.924068 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.672180 2.345446 3.646604 7.450329 46.387084 NaN NaN